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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.27+0.49vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.41+0.26vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.47-0.67vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.84-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Western Washington University0.5439.3%1st Place
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2.49University of Maryland0.2727.7%1st Place
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3.26Western Washington University-0.4113.9%1st Place
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3.33Unknown School-0.4711.5%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University-0.847.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 39.3% | 27.9% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Connor Smith | 27.7% | 27.4% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 13.9% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 25.5% | 22.7% |
| Ashley Ferriera | 11.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 23.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.