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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+5.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+5.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.13vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.92+4.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+1.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.00-1.22vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University2.37+3.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.83-2.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+2.09vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07-2.27vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.48-1.27vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31+2.86vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.37-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.53-1.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.81-6.34vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.06-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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4.78College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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10.11Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.73Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.73Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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14.86Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.79SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 14.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zach Runci | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 7.3% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 66.7% |
| John Kinzel | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 27.2% | 13.4% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.