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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+7.27vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.38+2.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.17vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.77+3.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.38vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.55-2.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.46vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.76vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.23-5.01vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-8.84vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.18-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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5.07Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.01Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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11.38Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.99Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.16Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.96Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 22.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.7% |
| Olin Davis | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| John Renehan | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.