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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+8.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.19vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+5.48vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.73+1.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+3.03vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+2.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.80vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.77+1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-3.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.55vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-3.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.57vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-5.90vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.03Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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12.91Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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11.1Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Graham Landy | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Olin Davis | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| John Renehan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 21.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.