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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+11.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.23vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+6.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+2.60vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-1.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.46vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.38-1.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.23-2.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-4.75vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.77-2.23vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-5.26vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.73-8.02vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.16Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.04Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.29Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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10.78Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.77Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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7.87Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 19.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| John Renehan | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Graham Landy | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Olin Davis | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.