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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.23+6.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.22vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+0.97vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55+1.50vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-0.88vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-0.21vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-0.48vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.70vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-5.53vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.76vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.77-4.07vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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5.17Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.82Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.0Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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11.52Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.93Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Olin Davis | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Patrick Kana | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 15.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 20.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.