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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.23vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+8.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.23vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.77+7.60vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+0.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55+1.51vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+1.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-0.21vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.54vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-4.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.62vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-8.87vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.43Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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10.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.7Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.87Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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8.13Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| Patrick Kana | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 22.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Olin Davis | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.