Race 5A

north-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Geoff Williams 5.2% 7.7% 10.0% 10.5% 16.5% 18.5% 17.7% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Friedman 18.6% 20.6% 21.3% 16.7% 12.5% 6.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Layton 23.7% 21.3% 20.8% 16.2% 9.9% 4.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 6.2% 8.4% 10.8% 14.2% 14.8% 18.7% 15.2% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Andrews 32.5% 26.8% 17.8% 12.2% 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 4.8% 3.7% 6.2% 9.1% 12.8% 17.1% 18.5% 27.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Olsen 4.6% 6.1% 7.3% 10.9% 13.5% 14.9% 21.0% 21.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 10.2% 13.9% 16.7% 20.6% 23.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 5.2% 7.7% 10.0% 10.5% 16.5% 18.5% 17.7% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 4.8% 3.7% 6.2% 9.1% 12.8% 17.1% 18.5% 27.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.