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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+9.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.21vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.73+2.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+3.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55+1.54vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+2.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-2.40vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-5.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-4.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-7.03vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.50vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-5.64vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.77-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.98Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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11.16Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.73Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.85Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.65Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob La Dow | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Olin Davis | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| John Renehan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 19.7% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.