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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+8.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.63vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.73+6.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+6.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+3.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.19vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.55vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-0.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.38-2.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-3.34vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-7.04vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.77-3.17vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University4.71-11.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.94Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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10.66Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.83Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.84Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Olin Davis | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| John Renehan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Graham Landy | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 20.6% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 19.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.