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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+6.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.68+3.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.70vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+0.82vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+1.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+1.24vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.03vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95-0.05vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13-0.90vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-0.98vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.05-1.69vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-7.26vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54North Carolina State University1.266.3%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University1.6810.7%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University2.2019.4%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University1.227.8%1st Place
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5.82Tulane University1.7310.0%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston1.457.3%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.7%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University1.134.1%1st Place
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10.02Christopher Newport University0.653.6%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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11.31University of Michigan0.051.7%1st Place
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6.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.7%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University0.694.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 19.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 28.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.