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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+6.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.50vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+2.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+4.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.10vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+0.45vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13+0.96vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-4.20vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48-0.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-5.33vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-4.06vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-2.40vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23College of Charleston1.457.2%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University2.2017.2%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University1.7311.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University0.694.8%1st Place
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6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.8%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.9%1st Place
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7.45North Carolina State University1.267.3%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University1.134.4%1st Place
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8.2George Washington University0.936.2%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University1.689.9%1st Place
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10.09University of Vermont0.483.4%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University1.228.1%1st Place
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8.94Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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11.6University of Michigan0.051.4%1st Place
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10.07Christopher Newport University0.653.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 30.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.