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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.57vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+6.14vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+2.84vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+3.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+3.76vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73-0.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.76+5.01vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45-1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-1.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.18vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-4.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.03vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.05-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Georgetown University2.2015.9%1st Place
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8.14George Washington University0.936.7%1st Place
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5.84Cornell University1.6811.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University0.975.5%1st Place
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8.76Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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5.97Tulane University1.739.3%1st Place
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6.52Northeastern University1.229.4%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston1.457.2%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University0.694.9%1st Place
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6.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.8%1st Place
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7.23North Carolina State University1.266.9%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.7%1st Place
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9.66Christopher Newport University0.653.3%1st Place
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10.95University of Michigan0.052.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 51.8% |
| Grace Squires | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.