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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+8.86vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.68+3.69vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+1.35vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+1.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+3.57vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+2.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+0.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.28vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26-1.78vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97-2.07vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-4.50vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.05-0.78vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.04vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Christopher Newport University0.653.2%1st Place
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5.69Cornell University1.6811.1%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.2017.1%1st Place
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5.8Tulane University1.7311.5%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University0.694.9%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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7.32College of Charleston1.455.8%1st Place
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6.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.6%1st Place
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7.22North Carolina State University1.267.2%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University0.974.5%1st Place
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6.5Northeastern University1.229.7%1st Place
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11.22University of Michigan0.051.7%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.6%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University0.935.4%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont-0.760.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Grace Squires | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.