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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+7.69vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+7.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+1.33vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26+3.29vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+3.98vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+1.38vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-1.26vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+0.26vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.76+3.00vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.05+0.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-5.40vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.91vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.68-8.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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9.8Christopher Newport University0.653.1%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University2.2017.2%1st Place
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7.29North Carolina State University1.267.4%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University1.134.3%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston1.455.9%1st Place
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5.74Tulane University1.7311.2%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University0.935.1%1st Place
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6.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Vermont-0.761.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Michigan0.051.8%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University1.228.6%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.5%1st Place
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5.65Cornell University1.6811.3%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University1.157.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Grace Squires | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 54.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.