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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.40+1.96vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.89+0.31vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy0.99+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.79+0.30vs Predicted
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6Colgate University2.53-3.20vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.70vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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2.31Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.46Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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2.8Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.09Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Friedman | 22.3% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 33.1% | 30.2% | 19.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 23.8% | 24.0% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.