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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.47vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+7.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+4.36vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.52vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+3.76vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+1.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68-1.22vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+1.77vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.36vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-4.25vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.05+0.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.10vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-5.61vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-5.84vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University2.2017.5%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University1.133.6%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston1.456.0%1st Place
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6.52Northeastern University1.228.8%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.157.1%1st Place
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5.78Cornell University1.6810.8%1st Place
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9.77Christopher Newport University0.654.0%1st Place
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6.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.3%1st Place
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5.75Tulane University1.7310.4%1st Place
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11.06University of Michigan0.052.2%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.1%1st Place
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7.39North Carolina State University1.266.9%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University0.935.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Grace Squires | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 20.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.