← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.56+8.01vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.49+7.35vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.74+5.28vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.88+3.37vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.40vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.71+1.11vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.36+1.57vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.05+2.00vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.35-0.01vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.02+0.24vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+3.00vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.62-4.56vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.95-7.08vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.51-6.04vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-7.53vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-5.27vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College2.78-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.01Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
9.35Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.28Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
8.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.57Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.99Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.24University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
15.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
-
8.44Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
6.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
11.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.0%1st Place
-
11.86Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Drew Shea | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 44.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Don Hause III | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.