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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+5.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.35vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+5.19vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+1.82vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+3.87vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73-0.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.05+2.14vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.27vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-2.38vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-2.21vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-5.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.76-1.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.45-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Northeastern University1.227.9%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.2017.8%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University0.935.9%1st Place
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5.82Cornell University1.6810.4%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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5.75Tulane University1.7310.4%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University1.135.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.157.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Michigan0.051.8%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.6%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.9%1st Place
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9.79Christopher Newport University0.652.8%1st Place
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7.44North Carolina State University1.266.2%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston1.457.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lily Flack | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 51.7% |
| Grace Squires | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.