← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.22+6.61vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.99vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.51+0.78vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.29+3.70vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.50+1.94vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.27+1.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.49+6.03vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.36vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.93-0.21vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.92-1.07vs Predicted
-
11American University0.59+3.58vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.87-2.97vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.98vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.45-7.10vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University3.35-8.59vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.91-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
5.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
3.78Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
7.7University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.94Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.69Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
13.03University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.79University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.93Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
14.58American University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.03Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
12.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
6.9Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.41Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.96Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 22.4% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicole Popp | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 31.5% | 21.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 60.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Adele Huffine | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 9.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.