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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+4.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+2.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+3.26vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+0.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+3.11vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+1.27vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.13+0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.76+2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.05+0.18vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.25vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65-3.19vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-6.70vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Georgetown University2.2017.1%1st Place
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6.51Northeastern University1.229.0%1st Place
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5.7Cornell University1.6811.6%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston1.457.8%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University1.7310.5%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University1.134.7%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University1.156.3%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Michigan0.052.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.615.1%1st Place
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9.81Christopher Newport University0.653.1%1st Place
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7.3North Carolina State University1.266.7%1st Place
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6.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.1% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 50.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| Lily Flack | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.