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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+4.80vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+6.01vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+4.40vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+3.82vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.26+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.05+4.19vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-2.18vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-4.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-2.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.20vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-2.28vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.39vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Cornell University1.6810.6%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University0.936.0%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University1.229.7%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.134.3%1st Place
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7.33North Carolina State University1.266.2%1st Place
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11.19University of Michigan0.052.1%1st Place
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5.82Tulane University1.7310.1%1st Place
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4.45Georgetown University2.2017.2%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.2%1st Place
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9.72Christopher Newport University0.653.8%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.7%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont-0.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 7.7% |
| Lily Flack | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.