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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+6.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+4.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+5.00vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+1.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.13vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35-0.85vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-5.15vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.49+0.98vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-4.02vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.00vs Predicted
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15American University0.59-0.34vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.90vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.93-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.88Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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3.85Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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14.66American University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 22.8% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 29.1% | 23.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 58.6% |
| Adele Huffine | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 11.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.