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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.28vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+6.84vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+5.01vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+2.08vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73-0.23vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22-0.46vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+1.70vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95-0.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-1.17vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.68-5.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.76+0.92vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-5.82vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-5.40vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.05-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Georgetown University2.2017.1%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University1.134.8%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University0.936.2%1st Place
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.0%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston1.457.3%1st Place
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5.77Tulane University1.7310.7%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University1.228.6%1st Place
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9.7Christopher Newport University0.653.5%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University0.954.9%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University0.664.1%1st Place
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5.69Cornell University1.6810.9%1st Place
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12.92University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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7.18North Carolina State University1.266.9%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Michigan0.052.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 49.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Lily Flack | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.