Race 6A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Haley Powell 3.5% 6.7% 4.3% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 5.7% 7.2% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.1% 10.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.1%
Mary Hall 10.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 22.1% 17.3% 15.2% 12.0% 10.0% 7.5% 7.2% 2.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 6.2% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.7% 8.2% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 6.9% 7.5% 6.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.3% 7.1% 9.2% 6.8% 6.5% 7.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 3.4% 3.4% 5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.3% 9.5% 9.6% 5.9% 1.2%
Corey Hall 6.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 6.8% 7.6% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 4.7% 3.2% 0.3%
Claire Dennis 8.1% 8.9% 9.0% 8.1% 8.2% 6.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 5.4% 4.7% 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Abby Featherstone 7.1% 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 8.5% 7.3% 8.5% 9.1% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Nicole Popp 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 4.1% 5.0% 6.8% 14.2% 33.3% 19.7%
Kaye Siemers 5.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 5.3% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 7.6% 5.2% 1.0%
Sarah Mace 6.6% 4.9% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 6.8% 6.4% 7.5% 7.6% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Adele Huffine 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 3.5% 5.1% 4.7% 7.7% 10.1% 19.9% 20.0% 9.9%
Kimberly Kaull 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6% 6.7% 8.9% 8.8% 7.6% 6.7% 9.1% 9.1% 3.7% 1.1%
Leigh Cramer 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 1.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 6.5% 16.0% 64.0%
Lauren Turner 5.6% 6.9% 7.8% 6.4% 7.3% 8.1% 9.7% 8.0% 8.1% 6.8% 8.0% 5.9% 5.9% 4.3% 0.6% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.