← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+5.68vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.68+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.13+5.71vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.73+1.76vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.45+2.24vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20-1.58vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University0.93+0.97vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.65+1.57vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University0.95-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-3.45vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.26-3.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan0.05-0.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.76-0.23vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.66-5.23vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.2%1st Place
-
5.63Cornell University1.6812.0%1st Place
-
8.71Fordham University1.135.0%1st Place
-
5.76Tulane University1.7310.7%1st Place
-
7.24College of Charleston1.457.1%1st Place
-
4.42Georgetown University2.2016.4%1st Place
-
7.97George Washington University0.935.7%1st Place
-
9.57Christopher Newport University0.654.0%1st Place
-
8.85Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
-
6.55Northeastern University1.228.7%1st Place
-
7.23North Carolina State University1.266.7%1st Place
-
11.22University of Michigan0.051.5%1st Place
-
12.77University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
-
8.77Tufts University0.664.9%1st Place
-
8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 48.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Lily Flack | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.