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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+6.70vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+0.81vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+2.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-0.57vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.49+3.09vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-4.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.94vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-5.16vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.08vs Predicted
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16American University0.59-1.27vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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3.81Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.43University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.84Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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14.73American University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 21.8% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Corey Hall | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 31.9% | 19.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Adele Huffine | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 10.1% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 16.4% | 63.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.