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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.58vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+4.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+5.82vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+4.05vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.68vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+0.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28-2.16vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-2.80vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-3.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.02vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-0.61vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.56+1.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.04-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-6.29vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.70-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
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14.19Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 22.7% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Liana Folger | 4.5% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Allison Shane | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
| Julia Melton | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 14.5% | 55.9% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.