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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+1.42vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+2.93vs Predicted
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3Colgate University2.53-0.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy0.99+1.60vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.40-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester1.17-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester1.17-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.79-2.08vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.24vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.79-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.93Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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2.99Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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3.17Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.76Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 34.1% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 21.5% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 19.2% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 6.1% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 6.1% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.