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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+4.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+3.22vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.76vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.70+5.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+1.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04+1.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.40-0.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.04vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-0.62vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.56+1.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.20-4.35vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-6.28vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
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14.22Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 23.1% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 13.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Allison Shane | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 13.0% |
| Julia Melton | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 55.1% |
| Emily McNeil | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.