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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+3.91vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+3.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.06vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.08+1.69vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.05vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67+3.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.20-0.21vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.40-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.04-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.70-1.68vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-5.49vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-8.06vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.56-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
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8.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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14.3Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 25.0% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 9.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Allison Shane | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 11.1% |
| Liana Folger | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Emily McNeil | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 10.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Julia Melton | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.