← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.28+4.89vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.10+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.08+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.70vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.20+4.77vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.51+2.67vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.01-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.71-0.23vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67+2.41vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.85-2.49vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.20-4.78vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.04-1.77vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.56+1.20vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.24vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.40-5.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami1.70-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.89Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
3.68Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
6.59Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.77Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
-
8.67University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.77Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
11.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
-
7.51Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
6.22College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.23University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
-
14.2Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.76U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.15Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
-
11.51University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 24.2% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily McNeil | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Allison Shane | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 12.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Julia Melton | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 55.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.