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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+7.64vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+3.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.04+4.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-0.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.17vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-2.84vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-2.54vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.39vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.56+2.16vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-4.43vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.70-3.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.67-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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14.16Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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11.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 23.9% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Julia Melton | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 56.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Allison Shane | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.