Race 1A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Edmunds 8.5% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.6% 11.0% 12.3% 7.5% 8.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Deirdre Lambert 23.1% 19.5% 16.8% 12.4% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 2.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Donahue 8.4% 9.6% 10.1% 11.9% 11.6% 11.7% 9.6% 9.9% 7.3% 5.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.3%
David Pierce 3.8% 5.7% 5.3% 6.2% 9.5% 7.2% 9.7% 9.9% 12.3% 11.0% 10.4% 6.2% 2.8%
Elizabeth Whipple 14.4% 15.4% 11.9% 12.9% 9.9% 11.6% 8.6% 6.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Natalie Salk 16.7% 14.9% 16.0% 12.6% 11.2% 9.3% 6.7% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.7% 5.7% 8.1% 8.7% 8.8% 8.3% 10.3% 11.7% 10.8% 8.9% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Christopher Hulse 2.6% 3.4% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.6% 11.6% 17.6% 16.8% 8.9%
Sean Willerford 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% 5.4% 3.9% 6.8% 9.8% 12.3% 15.4% 17.9% 13.1%
Bradley Abbott 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 6.1% 9.2% 7.9% 10.6% 9.3% 10.2% 11.8% 9.5% 5.9% 4.4%
Ian Paice 5.2% 4.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.1% 9.6% 9.3% 11.8% 11.4% 10.5% 7.3% 5.5% 2.0%
Jared Dunn 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.8% 4.0% 6.4% 7.1% 10.4% 14.0% 21.6% 21.5%
James Fales 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.8% 3.7% 7.1% 10.4% 19.9% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.