Race 2A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Donahue 9.1% 9.7% 11.8% 10.6% 10.5% 11.7% 9.9% 10.2% 6.4% 5.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Natalie Salk 15.2% 15.8% 14.8% 13.3% 12.2% 9.4% 8.2% 5.0% 3.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 1.3% 2.0% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 5.5% 5.4% 8.7% 10.9% 14.8% 21.3% 20.3%
Peter Edmunds 8.3% 10.2% 9.1% 12.3% 10.6% 10.2% 11.1% 9.0% 7.6% 6.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 23.7% 20.7% 14.9% 12.1% 9.9% 9.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.9% 6.3% 7.9% 7.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.4% 11.5% 10.7% 8.6% 6.3% 3.9% 1.1%
Bradley Abbott 6.1% 5.0% 5.6% 7.2% 8.2% 7.1% 9.1% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 8.7% 7.0% 2.6%
Sean Willerford 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 3.2% 3.8% 6.8% 7.0% 10.2% 11.4% 14.6% 19.7% 11.1%
Ian Paice 5.5% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 8.6% 8.5% 10.3% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.1% 6.0% 2.5%
Elizabeth Whipple 14.6% 13.6% 13.6% 13.5% 11.0% 9.9% 8.2% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
David Pierce 4.1% 4.7% 8.2% 7.0% 7.4% 9.7% 8.0% 11.4% 12.5% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.4%
Christopher Hulse 2.2% 3.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 7.9% 13.5% 16.0% 16.1% 11.9%
James Fales 0.8% 0.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 2.6% 5.4% 6.3% 10.2% 17.4% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.