Race 3A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Edmunds 9.1% 8.1% 11.1% 11.1% 10.6% 11.2% 9.4% 10.6% 7.7% 4.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Deirdre Lambert 22.8% 19.9% 17.6% 13.2% 9.1% 5.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 5.6% 5.9% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 10.5% 12.3% 9.0% 10.1% 6.6% 4.2% 0.6%
Elizabeth Whipple 13.6% 14.8% 13.3% 12.2% 12.6% 10.2% 9.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Natalie Salk 17.3% 15.2% 16.1% 11.9% 10.9% 10.7% 6.1% 5.4% 2.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Ian Donahue 10.0% 10.9% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 9.9% 10.2% 8.2% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sean Willerford 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 5.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 10.8% 12.6% 14.4% 18.1% 11.9%
Bradley Abbott 5.0% 5.9% 5.3% 7.2% 6.4% 7.7% 9.6% 10.7% 13.0% 11.8% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4%
David Pierce 4.8% 5.3% 4.3% 7.7% 6.8% 8.5% 9.5% 11.6% 11.3% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 3.0%
Ian Paice 5.4% 6.3% 4.4% 7.3% 7.6% 10.6% 9.0% 10.8% 10.0% 10.4% 8.2% 7.1% 2.9%
James Fales 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 4.2% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 12.3% 16.8% 43.5%
Jared Dunn 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.9% 6.6% 10.5% 13.8% 21.9% 22.4%
Christopher Hulse 1.6% 2.3% 3.6% 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 7.6% 6.8% 10.0% 11.3% 15.0% 17.1% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.