Race 5A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bradley Abbott 5.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.2% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 11.1% 10.6% 13.3% 9.3% 6.9% 2.3%
Ian Donahue 8.6% 10.3% 9.4% 11.1% 11.3% 11.4% 11.1% 9.2% 7.4% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Deirdre Lambert 22.8% 18.0% 15.8% 12.8% 10.9% 9.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 14.9% 16.2% 13.8% 14.1% 10.8% 10.0% 9.0% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.4% 11.2% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 6.5% 4.1% 0.8%
Peter Edmunds 9.3% 8.8% 10.9% 10.5% 10.7% 11.2% 9.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.5% 3.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Ian Paice 5.9% 4.7% 7.2% 7.3% 6.6% 8.5% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 11.1% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0%
David Pierce 3.9% 6.7% 5.5% 4.7% 7.2% 9.2% 9.7% 11.2% 12.6% 10.5% 9.6% 7.0% 2.2%
IG Schottlaender 16.8% 16.9% 14.5% 12.2% 10.9% 9.0% 7.6% 5.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 6.5% 7.3% 10.7% 15.2% 20.5% 20.7%
Sean Willerford 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 4.4% 3.4% 5.7% 6.7% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 16.7% 15.4% 11.9%
Christopher Hulse 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.3% 10.2% 11.6% 14.8% 17.6% 12.3%
James Fales 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.5% 0.9% 2.1% 3.4% 4.8% 6.7% 10.2% 18.6% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.