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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48+2.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis1.68+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.86+0.70vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.04+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-1.38vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.44+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.92-1.39vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.69vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.02-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.19-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
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6.41Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.440.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Davis0.920.1%1st Place
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8.31California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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8.54California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Delle Cese | 17.6% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 33.6% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Dan Sundberg | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Mickail Murawski | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Absy | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 25.2% |
| Trevor Fournier | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 28.1% |
| Kenton Stutz | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.