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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University2.53+1.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.89+0.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy0.99+2.03vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.40-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.79-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.66vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-3.51vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Colgate University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.33Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Military Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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2.98Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.34University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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4.49Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.11Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Layton | 25.2% | 25.2% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 33.4% | 29.0% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 20.9% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.3% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.3% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.