Race 14B

st-mary-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Elizabeth Starck 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 7.0% 9.5% 8.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 3.0%
Maisie MacGillivray 4.8% 6.3% 4.9% 6.1% 6.1% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.1% 7.8% 5.0%
Isabella du Plessis 10.8% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.2% 9.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Emma Tallman 17.6% 15.0% 14.3% 12.5% 10.3% 8.9% 6.2% 5.9% 3.8% 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Smith 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 6.5% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 10.6% 7.3%
Alexa Shea 4.9% 5.3% 4.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 8.6% 7.5% 9.1% 7.8% 5.3%
Lina Carper 7.1% 6.7% 6.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 6.8% 7.7% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 7.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5%
Lucy Spearman 11.1% 12.5% 11.5% 10.5% 9.2% 9.3% 8.4% 7.1% 6.0% 4.6% 4.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.2% 7.7% 9.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 5.9% 6.5% 5.5% 2.6% 1.5%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 7.3% 8.0% 8.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.0% 5.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6%
Lizzie Cochran 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 7.2% 7.0% 7.7% 6.4% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 8.9% 6.3% 6.0% 3.5%
Emma Friedauer 3.9% 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 5.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.9% 8.0% 9.3% 10.5% 11.7% 10.7%
Caitlin Derby 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.6% 11.7% 14.0% 14.3%
Maya Conway 5.7% 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 7.6% 7.9% 5.0%
Katherine Simcoe 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 4.6% 6.5% 8.5% 14.3% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.