Race 6A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 6.3% 5.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.9% 9.4% 11.5% 10.4% 9.8% 7.1% 4.1% 0.9%
IG Schottlaender 16.1% 15.6% 17.2% 13.7% 11.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Bradley Abbott 3.9% 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 7.6% 10.6% 11.5% 12.3% 10.7% 9.7% 6.9% 2.6%
Natalie Salk 15.8% 15.4% 14.2% 13.3% 11.6% 10.6% 7.7% 4.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Deirdre Lambert 23.2% 20.3% 14.8% 11.5% 11.5% 7.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 8.9% 9.8% 8.9% 11.0% 9.5% 12.2% 10.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Sean Willerford 2.7% 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 5.8% 4.3% 6.2% 6.1% 8.5% 12.7% 16.1% 19.0% 10.1%
Ian Paice 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 7.1% 7.1% 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 12.0% 11.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.1%
David Pierce 4.6% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 8.6% 12.9% 10.5% 11.4% 11.0% 6.4% 2.7%
Christopher Hulse 2.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.5% 3.3% 4.5% 7.6% 7.1% 10.8% 11.8% 14.7% 15.5% 12.0%
Ian Donahue 9.3% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 10.7% 11.3% 9.7% 10.0% 7.6% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Jared Dunn 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 7.1% 10.4% 13.5% 22.0% 22.6%
James Fales 0.9% 0.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 3.7% 4.3% 7.3% 11.3% 17.5% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.