Race 7A

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 5.7% 5.5% 4.6% 10.0% 9.7% 7.5% 10.7% 11.2% 11.4% 10.6% 7.0% 4.7% 1.4%
Peter Edmunds 7.5% 7.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 13.1% 10.9% 7.7% 7.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Natalie Salk 13.8% 15.4% 13.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 20.5% 17.8% 16.9% 12.4% 10.5% 8.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
David Pierce 4.8% 4.3% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 9.6% 10.1% 13.6% 10.6% 11.7% 6.8% 2.0%
Ian Donahue 8.7% 10.3% 9.0% 10.8% 9.8% 12.1% 11.0% 8.4% 7.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Bradley Abbott 4.9% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 10.3% 12.7% 11.5% 10.7% 7.1% 2.9%
Jared Dunn 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.2% 6.7% 6.8% 10.2% 16.0% 22.6% 19.6%
Sean Willerford 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 4.8% 7.3% 8.5% 12.8% 16.7% 17.9% 13.9%
Trevor Burd 11.0% 9.2% 11.0% 13.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.0% 8.2% 7.7% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
IG Schottlaender 17.2% 16.0% 15.0% 11.4% 12.4% 10.9% 7.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
James Fales 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 2.4% 1.5% 2.1% 3.8% 4.4% 7.3% 10.5% 16.8% 48.2%
Christopher Hulse 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.1% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 8.5% 9.9% 13.2% 15.6% 19.3% 11.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.