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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jackson McGeough 10.0% 12.3% 14.8% 17.7% 17.0% 14.4% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Hilton Kamps 31.9% 24.8% 18.2% 13.0% 7.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Moring 3.9% 4.8% 5.7% 7.2% 11.0% 16.9% 24.3% 20.1% 6.2%
Dawson Kohl 22.3% 22.5% 18.8% 15.3% 11.3% 6.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Julian Larsen 9.6% 10.9% 13.4% 17.1% 18.8% 15.7% 9.8% 4.2% 0.5%
Blake March 15.2% 17.3% 18.2% 17.4% 14.6% 9.7% 6.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Nicholas Golino 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 5.3% 9.8% 15.3% 37.0% 22.0%
Julian Drake 4.8% 4.9% 6.6% 7.6% 12.2% 19.9% 22.9% 16.2% 5.0%
James Nave 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 8.3% 17.0% 65.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.