Race 6B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caleb Armstrong 10.8% 11.8% 11.1% 11.4% 10.5% 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 6.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.9% 11.5% 11.6% 11.9% 10.0% 10.6% 8.6% 9.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Jeff Goodrich 7.3% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 11.5% 9.1% 10.5% 9.1% 9.7% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon 20.7% 15.8% 14.5% 14.4% 10.6% 8.5% 6.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 6.5% 8.6% 9.0% 9.4% 11.8% 12.1% 10.4% 5.3% 1.7%
Brendan Heussler 9.5% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 11.1% 9.9% 11.4% 7.7% 8.6% 6.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 10.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 10.6% 9.5% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Sam Wyer 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 5.3% 8.1% 12.1% 17.4% 21.2% 16.4%
Andrew McHenry 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 7.2% 11.0% 17.0% 22.5% 17.3%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.4% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 6.2% 8.2% 13.3% 16.7% 19.1% 14.0%
Michael Saldi 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 9.6% 8.8% 11.4% 10.7% 9.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Jacob Hardy 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.7% 3.2% 3.5% 6.5% 11.3% 19.4% 48.1%
Carolyn Naughton 7.6% 10.5% 9.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.5% 9.6% 10.9% 9.7% 5.6% 3.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.