Race 7B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jeff Goodrich 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.6% 11.5% 8.8% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.3% 13.4% 11.1% 10.5% 11.8% 9.8% 10.1% 7.1% 8.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Michael Saldi 8.3% 8.9% 10.5% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Caleb Armstrong 11.8% 10.8% 11.8% 11.0% 11.0% 10.9% 8.9% 8.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Tommy Holmberg 6.1% 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 10.2% 10.9% 12.0% 10.0% 5.8% 1.8%
Carolyn Naughton 9.5% 10.5% 11.0% 9.4% 9.3% 10.5% 10.1% 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon 20.6% 18.4% 13.8% 12.5% 10.0% 9.3% 7.1% 4.3% 1.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Wyer 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 2.5% 3.8% 5.6% 7.5% 11.3% 17.1% 23.4% 15.8%
Conor Lodge 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 9.9% 9.1% 11.5% 9.9% 9.6% 8.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
Brendan Heussler 10.6% 8.7% 9.4% 11.8% 9.7% 8.8% 9.7% 9.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 5.5% 5.5% 7.7% 7.3% 13.5% 16.9% 18.6% 11.7%
Andrew McHenry 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 11.2% 15.6% 22.8% 18.5%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 4.1% 5.5% 11.8% 18.6% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.