Race 1A

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Bainbridge 19.4% 17.5% 14.9% 14.2% 11.9% 8.3% 5.3% 5.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Alex Whipple 12.9% 15.0% 12.2% 11.7% 12.9% 10.2% 9.3% 6.4% 5.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 5.4% 4.5% 6.6% 6.2% 6.4% 8.2% 8.2% 13.2% 12.8% 14.3% 10.6% 3.6%
Billy Hines 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 9.2% 8.0% 9.5% 11.2% 11.8% 12.0% 10.9% 7.0% 2.5%
Angus Page 3.8% 4.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.1% 8.9% 8.2% 11.1% 14.7% 13.3% 11.7% 5.7%
John Meleney 17.1% 16.9% 14.9% 12.3% 11.5% 10.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Dragone 4.1% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 12.5% 17.0% 13.8% 6.3%
Michael Sturges 9.2% 8.9% 9.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 12.0% 10.6% 8.4% 6.1% 4.3% 0.8%
Jessica Claflin 12.7% 12.0% 13.1% 12.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.3% 7.0% 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 12.8% 12.5% 9.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.6%
Priscilla Stoll 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 2.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.8% 8.4% 13.7% 24.7% 31.0%
Tom McKenzie 0.8% 1.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 5.8% 9.8% 21.0% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.