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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+1.31vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.40+0.92vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.50vs Predicted
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4Colgate University2.53-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.79+0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.99-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.64vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.890.4%1st Place
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2.92Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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4.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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2.79Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.12Hamilton College0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 36.1% | 26.6% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 19.6% | 26.4% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 24.2% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.