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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+2.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+2.85vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.01+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.18+0.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-1.01vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.34+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.68-1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.11-1.89vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85-3.03vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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4.85Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.49Wesleyan University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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6.67Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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7.97Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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10.4Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 19.7% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Angus Page | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Meleney | 17.7% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Michael Sturges | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 30.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 8.5% |
| Tom McKenzie | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 22.0% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.