Race 3A

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Angus Page 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 5.7% 6.8% 8.3% 8.8% 12.5% 11.3% 13.9% 11.3% 5.1%
Alex Whipple 16.0% 16.3% 14.6% 12.9% 12.0% 7.8% 8.6% 5.4% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Billy Hines 7.3% 7.9% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.8% 12.0% 10.1% 5.3% 2.2%
Nicholas Dragone 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 6.6% 8.0% 7.4% 8.9% 10.9% 11.6% 13.3% 13.1% 7.9%
Ellis Tonissi 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 9.8% 11.1% 9.1% 10.7% 8.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4%
Bradley Brown 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.0% 10.8% 11.4% 11.4% 9.5% 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% 1.0%
Ian Hollerbach 6.1% 7.4% 5.9% 7.1% 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 12.1% 12.9% 8.3% 4.1%
Michael Sturges 11.7% 8.9% 11.3% 11.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.5% 9.8% 8.0% 5.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Helen Lord 8.8% 9.5% 10.8% 12.1% 10.2% 11.5% 9.6% 10.8% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 0.6%
John Meleney 20.5% 18.4% 15.3% 13.6% 9.7% 9.9% 5.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 6.0% 8.4% 11.1% 25.6% 30.6%
Tom McKenzie 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 5.9% 10.9% 20.7% 46.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.