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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.50vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.51vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.48+0.64vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46-1.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5North Carolina State University1.4064.6%1st Place
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4.51Embry-Riddle University-1.834.9%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University-0.488.0%1st Place
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3.7Embry-Riddle University-0.528.0%1st Place
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3.44University of North Carolina-0.4610.6%1st Place
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5.38University of South Carolina-1.802.5%1st Place
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5.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Chase | 64.6% | 24.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Timothy Dolan | 4.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 11.3% |
Tucker Parks | 8.0% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
Zechariah Frantz | 8.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
May Proctor | 10.6% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
Tyler Williams | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 27.2% | 30.9% |
Julia Morash | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 22.4% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.