Race 2B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Weigel 37.4% 24.9% 16.3% 10.7% 5.3% 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 7.4% 8.5% 9.7% 11.0% 11.8% 10.8% 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Brian Gracey 4.1% 5.0% 8.7% 10.4% 8.8% 9.1% 10.5% 10.1% 11.4% 8.8% 7.2% 4.4% 1.5%
Alexander Rudkin 6.3% 7.9% 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 9.1% 7.2% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Richard Meisenbach 5.7% 5.3% 6.3% 8.0% 8.2% 10.1% 8.5% 10.0% 11.3% 10.9% 7.9% 5.0% 2.8%
Henry Vogel 15.9% 18.0% 14.7% 13.9% 11.6% 8.2% 7.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Ryan Daly 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 9.5% 8.9% 10.9% 10.5% 10.0% 10.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.4%
Melissa Bermudez 6.9% 10.4% 9.8% 10.0% 11.0% 11.4% 11.5% 9.6% 7.4% 6.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Moussa Diolombi 1.0% 1.0% 2.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 2.6% 4.6% 5.8% 6.7% 11.6% 21.6% 34.2%
Jack Kerby-Miller 4.5% 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 8.0% 10.1% 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 11.1% 10.0% 7.0% 2.9%
Pierce Conlin 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 9.2% 11.6% 14.9% 16.5% 13.0%
James McAndrew 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.9% 11.1% 15.8% 13.0% 8.1%
Christopher Wagner 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 8.7% 11.9% 22.3% 34.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.