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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.51vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.72vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.46-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.80+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-0.12vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.48-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51North Carolina State University1.4063.4%1st Place
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3.72Embry-Riddle University-0.528.3%1st Place
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4.43Embry-Riddle University-1.835.4%1st Place
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3.44University of North Carolina-0.4610.0%1st Place
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5.36University of South Carolina-1.803.1%1st Place
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5.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.4%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University-0.488.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 63.4% | 26.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 8.3% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 5.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 10.7% |
| May Proctor | 10.0% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
| Julia Morash | 1.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 50.6% |
| Tucker Parks | 8.5% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.