← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.40+0.53vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.48+1.72vs Predicted
-
3Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.65vs Predicted
-
4Embry-Riddle University-1.83+0.46vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.46-1.59vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.72vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.53North Carolina State University1.4063.3%1st Place
-
3.72North Carolina State University-0.487.6%1st Place
-
3.65Embry-Riddle University-0.528.3%1st Place
-
4.46Embry-Riddle University-1.834.3%1st Place
-
3.41University of North Carolina-0.4611.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of South Carolina-1.803.1%1st Place
-
5.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.212.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Chase | 63.3% | 24.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tucker Parks | 7.6% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
Zechariah Frantz | 8.3% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
Timothy Dolan | 4.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 10.9% |
May Proctor | 11.1% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
Tyler Williams | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
Julia Morash | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.