Race 4B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emmett Weeks 7.6% 7.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.5% 11.0% 10.3% 9.7% 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Henry Vogel 13.6% 17.1% 15.8% 14.9% 10.5% 10.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.6% 11.2% 9.7% 11.6% 10.4% 7.8% 2.3%
Richard Meisenbach 3.4% 5.9% 6.8% 5.6% 9.3% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 12.5% 11.5% 8.5% 6.5% 2.5%
Moussa Diolombi 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 6.4% 8.3% 11.6% 19.5% 34.0%
Ryan Daly 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 5.4% 1.1%
Brian Gracey 6.8% 5.5% 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 12.1% 10.4% 9.2% 7.3% 4.7% 1.1%
Christopher Wagner 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 5.6% 7.2% 13.6% 18.9% 36.0%
Ben Weigel 35.4% 27.3% 15.8% 9.5% 6.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Rudkin 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 9.6% 9.7% 9.0% 6.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.1%
James McAndrew 2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 5.8% 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 9.4% 10.8% 12.7% 13.2% 12.7% 6.4%
Irene Jacqz 10.5% 10.9% 13.2% 12.1% 10.6% 11.0% 11.8% 7.6% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Pierce Conlin 1.3% 1.6% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 4.2% 6.7% 6.9% 9.1% 10.0% 16.8% 18.6% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.