← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.40+0.52vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.48+1.77vs Predicted
-
3Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.70vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.46-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.66vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52North Carolina State University1.4063.3%1st Place
-
3.77North Carolina State University-0.489.0%1st Place
-
3.7Embry-Riddle University-0.528.8%1st Place
-
3.43University of North Carolina-0.469.4%1st Place
-
4.44Embry-Riddle University-1.835.2%1st Place
-
5.34University of South Carolina-1.802.4%1st Place
-
5.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Chase | 63.3% | 24.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tucker Parks | 9.0% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
Zechariah Frantz | 8.8% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
May Proctor | 9.4% | 21.3% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
Timothy Dolan | 5.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 10.7% |
Tyler Williams | 2.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
Julia Morash | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.