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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.49vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.46+0.47vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.35vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49North Carolina State University1.4064.9%1st Place
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3.76North Carolina State University-0.487.9%1st Place
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3.47University of North Carolina-0.4610.1%1st Place
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3.65Embry-Riddle University-0.528.5%1st Place
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4.43Embry-Riddle University-1.834.8%1st Place
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5.33University of South Carolina-1.802.2%1st Place
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5.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 64.9% | 24.1% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.9% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| May Proctor | 10.1% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 8.5% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 4.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 10.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
| Julia Morash | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 21.3% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.