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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.51vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.45vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.48+0.75vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51North Carolina State University1.4063.8%1st Place
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4.45Embry-Riddle University-1.835.1%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University-0.487.7%1st Place
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3.66Embry-Riddle University-0.528.4%1st Place
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3.45University of North Carolina-0.4610.5%1st Place
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5.36University of South Carolina-1.802.5%1st Place
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5.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 63.8% | 25.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 5.1% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 11.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.7% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 8.4% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| May Proctor | 10.5% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Julia Morash | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.