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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Vincent Andrews 33.9% 26.0% 18.5% 12.7% 5.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Layton 21.7% 22.9% 20.6% 15.7% 10.2% 6.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 7.1% 9.9% 10.6% 13.1% 15.2% 18.0% 15.4% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 5.5% 6.7% 9.5% 12.7% 13.3% 20.2% 15.9% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 10.1% 13.1% 13.8% 22.1% 27.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Olsen 5.3% 4.8% 8.1% 11.8% 14.3% 15.2% 19.8% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Friedman 19.2% 20.0% 20.5% 15.0% 13.4% 6.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 10.1% 13.1% 13.8% 22.1% 27.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 5.5% 6.7% 9.5% 12.7% 13.3% 20.2% 15.9% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William McIvor 3.4% 5.6% 6.6% 8.9% 15.3% 17.7% 19.4% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.