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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+1.42vs Predicted
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2Colgate University2.53+1.00vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester1.17+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.79+0.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.99-1.47vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.40-4.74vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester1.17-4.73vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.0Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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4.88Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Military Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.26Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.73Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 33.9% | 26.0% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 21.7% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 19.2% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.